Weekly Signal Digest — April 29, 2026
Here are this week’s top yield signals across Saskatchewan and Alberta.
Ranked by confidence score. High confidence means more data sources agree.
Low confidence means dig deeper before acting.
▼ Bearish Signals
| REGION |
ANOMALY |
TREND |
CONF |
| SAR 10 — Alberta |
-45.8% EXTREME |
Declining -6.3%/yr |
80% |
| SAR 7 — Saskatchewan |
-29.9% EXTREME |
Stable -0.9%/yr |
80% |
| SAR 30 — Alberta |
-14.8% MODERATE |
Declining -2.0%/yr |
64% |
| SAR 3 — Saskatchewan |
-13.4% MODERATE |
Declining -6.5%/yr |
80% |
▲ Bullish Signals
| REGION |
ANOMALY |
TREND |
CONF |
| SAR 17 — Saskatchewan |
+42.3% STRONG |
Stable +1.9%/yr |
40% |
| SAR 20 — Alberta |
+25.4% STRONG |
Improving +3.3%/yr |
80% |
| SAR 2 — Saskatchewan |
+9.1% MODERATE |
Stable +1.7%/yr |
80% |
| SAR 50 — Alberta |
+5.2% MODERATE |
Stable -0.6%/yr |
72% |
Signal Narratives
SAR 10 — Alberta (EXTREME BEARISH)
Alberta SAR 10 appears to be showing an extreme negative signal.
Yield performance appears sharply below the historical average (-45.8%). The multi-year trend appears to be worsening.
Weather appears slightly favourable but likely insufficient to shift the primary signal.
Seasonally, the timing suggests elevated seasonal risk and crop stress appears moderate.
Commodity prices appear near average — not a significant factor either way.
Revenue per acre is estimated at $188 CAD, suggesting a 4.8% revenue yield on current land prices.
Overall outlook suggests an extreme bearish signal with relatively high confidence (80/100).
SAR 7 — Saskatchewan (EXTREME BEARISH)
Saskatchewan SAR 7 appears to be showing an extreme negative signal.
Yield performance appears sharply below the historical average (-29.9%). The multi-year trend appears flat.
Weather conditions appear near normal — neither helping nor hurting.
Seasonally, the timing suggests elevated seasonal risk.
Commodity prices appear near average — not a significant factor either way.
Overall outlook suggests an extreme bearish signal with relatively high confidence (80/100).
SAR 17 — Saskatchewan (STRONG BULLISH)
Saskatchewan SAR 17 appears to be showing a strong positive signal.
Yield performance appears well above the historical average (+42.3%). The multi-year trend appears flat.
Weather suggests mild stress — below-normal temps or a possible precipitation deficit.
Seasonally, the timing suggests elevated seasonal risk.
Commodity prices appear soft, which may add pressure to revenue estimates.
Revenue per acre is estimated at $210 CAD, suggesting a 6.2% revenue yield on current land prices.
Note: weather stress is present but yield history is the primary driver of this signal — the two factors may be pointing in different directions.
Overall outlook suggests a strong bullish signal with low confidence — this signal should be treated with caution (40/100).
SAR 20 — Alberta (STRONG BULLISH)
Alberta SAR 20 appears to be showing a strong positive signal.
Yield performance appears well above the historical average (+25.4%). The multi-year trend appears to be improving.
Weather conditions appear near normal — neither helping nor hurting.
Seasonally, the timing suggests elevated seasonal risk and crop stress appears low.
Commodity prices appear near average — not a significant factor either way.
Revenue per acre is estimated at $224 CAD, suggesting a 5.9% revenue yield on current land prices.
Overall outlook suggests a strong bullish signal with relatively high confidence (80/100).